Avalanche Forecast

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Monday and Tuesday offer a drying trend for most of the province. A low approaching from the Gulf of Alaska may bring precipitation to the region beginning Wednesday night.MONDAY: Broken cloud cover, freezing level beginning at 800 m rising to 1400 m, light variable wind, 0.5 to 1 mm of precipitation possible. TUESDAY: Scattered cloud cover, freezing level beginning at 800 m rising to 1300 m, light west wind, no significant precipitation expected. WEDNESDAY: Broken cloud cover, freezing level beginning at 1000 m rising to 1300 m, light southwest wind, a few mm of precipitation possible in the afternoon.

Saturday's reported avalanche activity was limited to sluffing and snowballing in steep terrain. On Friday two size 2 slab avalanches were reported from a north/northeast facing feature between 2100 and 2400 m on the Duffey. While this is technically in the South Coast Inland region, it is worth mentioning here as it is a bit of an anomaly that may be present in the more far flung portions of this region too. The slabs were 20 to 40 cm in depth and failed on surface hoar up to 4 mm in size. Avalanche activity in the Sea-to-Sky region on Friday was limited to a size 1.5 natural cornice failure, and a size 3 cornice failure that was triggered by explosive control work. Reports from Thursday included two recent natural storm slab releases in the Whistler area. One was a thin size 1.5 that released on a steep slope just below a ridge crest and the other is a more concerning size 3.5 that was seen on the Cheakamus Glacier from Whistler. We don't have details on the failure plane of this second release, but it may have run on the mid-February crust.

A new crust exists on the surface on solar aspects at all elevations. High elevation polar aspects (those facing north and east) continue to hold dry snow, this is also where new surface hoar has been spotted on the surface.5 to 20 cm of wind distributed snow fell last week which came to rest on the mid-March crust on all but high elevation north aspects.The mid-February weak layer is composed of soft facets, surface hoar, and/or crust. This layer is found 50 to 100 cm below the surface. This interface previously produced whumpfing, sudden results in snowpack tests, and even some remotely triggered avalanches. Much of this activity was attributed to buried surface hoar on north aspects at upper treeline elevations. This buried weak layer is a limited but lingering concern in a snowpack that is otherwise well settled and strong beneath this interface. Variable winds in the past month have built up cornices on many ridgelines. They will become touchier as daily temperatures rise and when they are subject to the strong early spring sun on clear days.