Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Dec 10th, 2019 5:00PM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Storm Slabs.

Avalanche Canada ldreier, Avalanche Canada

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Triggering storm slab avalanches is possible. Watch out for signs of instability as you approach avalanche terrain.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate - Uncertainty is due to the complexity of the snowpack’s structure.

Weather Forecast

TUESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy with flurries, up to 5 cm of snow, 30 km/h wind from the southwest, alpine temperature around -4 C, freezing level at 800 m. 

WEDNESDAY: Cloudy with isolated flurries, 30 km/h wind from the west, alpine high temperatures around -6 C, freezing level at 1000 m.

THURSDAY: Cloudy, up to 15 cm of snow, 50 km/h wind from the southwest, alpine high temperatures around -4 C, freezing level at 1000 m.

FRIDAY: Cloudy with isolated flurries, light wind from the west, alpine high temperatures around -7 C, freezing level at 900 m.

Avalanche Summary

On Monday, a few slab avalanches up to size 2.5 were triggered with explosives. They were up to 30 cm thick and released on a crust on eastern to southerly aspects. 

On Sunday, numerous small natural avalanches (size 1) were observed on east aspects. A few skier triggered avalanches of size 1-2 were reported. On Saturday, several slab avalanches of size 1-2 were triggered by skiers. Two artificially controlled avalanches of size 1 and 2 were reported. Some of these slabs were up to 50 cm thick and released on a crust. They occurred on all aspects. Avalanches of smaller size released within the recent storm snow.

Snowpack Summary

The past week delivered about 15-60 cm of snow, with the highest accumulations in the east of the region. This snow has been blown around by southwest wind and sits above hard layers of wind pressed snow and crusts. There are reports of several layers 30-90 cm below the surface that could develop into avalanche problems in the future. These layers could be composed of facet/crust layers or surface hoar depending on aspect and elevation. Several notable snowpack test results and avalanches were reported on these layers. Snowpack depths are about 120 cm at treeline and below treeline is just reaching threshold depths.

Problems

Storm Slabs

An icon showing Storm Slabs

Triggering slab avalanches is still possible, especially at locations with a thin or variable snowpack, near rock outcroppings and in steep convex terrain. It is uncertain how well the recent storm snow bonds with the underlying facet/crust layers

The most recent avalanche activity was observed on southerly and eastern aspects. 

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size

1 - 2

Valid until: Dec 11th, 2019 5:00PM

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