Avalog
Register
Get forecast notifications
Create an account to receive email notifications when forecasts are published.
Register
Login
Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Dec 10th, 2017–Dec 11th, 2017
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Cariboos.

Seek the shade for the best and safest riding.

Confidence

Moderate - Due to the number of field observations

Weather Forecast

We'll see little change in the weather pattern: valley cloud and cool temperatures down low but sunny and warm up high. MONDAY: Sunny with cloudy periods. Light southerly wind. Freezing level near 1200m with an above freezing layer around 3200 m. Alpine high temperatures near +3.TUESDAY: Sunny with increasing cloud in the afternoon. Light to moderate west wind. Freezing level near 1800 m with a colder air layer in the valleys. WEDNESDAY:  Sunny with increasing cloud in the afternoon. Light westerly winds. Freezing level near valley bottom.

Avalanche Summary

Some small loose natural avalanches were reported on Saturday in the south of the region with the start of the warming. Overall, we have very limited data. Please submit your observations to the Mountain Information Network (MIN).

Snowpack Summary

Daytime warming is melting and weakening upper snowpack layers, particularly on steep sunny slopes. Warming also has the potential to wake up more deeply buried weak layers which formed in October and November. The late November crust is down 60-75cm and snowpack tests in the south of the region suggest the snow is bonding reasonably well there.Below treeline, the snowpack is shallow--look out for early season hazards like open creeks and tree stumps.

Avalanche Problems

Loose Wet

Loose wet avalanches are possible in steep, rocky, sunny terrain. Warming could also wake up more deeply buried weak layers, creating a surprisingly large avalanche.
Choose well supported terrain without convexities.Minimize exposure to steep, sun exposed slopes when the solar radiation is strong.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2