Avalanche Forecast
Regions: East Island, North Island, South Island, Vancouver Island, West Island.
Reactive wind slabs may build through the day on north through east aspects at upper elevations.
Confidence
Moderate
Avalanche Summary
Evidence of a widespread avalanche cycle up to size 3 was reported today. The cycle happened early this week.
New snow and wind on Thursday will likely build isolated, yet reactive wind slabs at upper elevations. Dry loose sluffing may exist in steep terrain features.
Snowpack Summary
A rain-saturated upper snowpack exists to mountaintop. As freezing levels fall Thursday, a widespread crust will form at upper elevations, and lower elevations may continue to be wet with rain. New snow accompanied by strong south wind will likely build wind slabs at upper elevations. Expect deeper and more reactive deposits on north—and east-facing slopes.
A robust crust, formed in early March, can be found in the mid-pack. The snow above is well bonded to this crust.
Below this, the snowpack is well consolidated and strong.
Weather Summary
Wednesday Night
Cloudy with up to 10 to 25 mm mostly falling as rain. 40 to 75 km/h south ridgetop winds. Treeline temperature 4 °C. Freezing level 2500 m and dropping to 1000 m by 4 am.
Thursday
Mostly cloudy with 5 to 15 mm falling as snow above 1000 m. 40 to 60 km/h south ridgetop winds. Treeline temperature 4 °C. Freezing level 1100 m.
Friday
Mostly cloudy with 15 to 30 mm falling as snow above 1000 m. 50 km/h south ridgetop winds. Treeline temperature 2 °C. Freezing level 1000 m.
Saturday
Cloudy with 5 to 10 mm falling as snow above 1000 m. 20 to 40 km/h south ridgetop winds. Treeline temperature 2 °C.
Freezing level 1000 m.
More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.
Terrain and Travel Advice
- Be alert to conditions that change with elevation, aspect, and exposure to wind.
- Wind slabs are most reactive during their formation.
- Use extra caution around cornices: they are large, fragile, and can trigger slabs on slopes below.
Avalanche Problems
Wind Slabs
New snow accompanied by strong south winds may build fresh and reactive wind slabs on lee slopes at treeline and above.
Wet loose avalanches are possible where precipitation falls as rain at lower elevations.
Aspects: North, North East, East, North West.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood: Possible - Likely
Expected Size: 1 - 2