Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Dec 17th, 2011 9:22AM
The alpine rating is Wind Slabs.
, the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems includeSummary
Confidence
Fair - Intensity of incoming weather is uncertain
Weather Forecast
Sunday: light snowfall with 3-5 cm expected. Alpine temperatures dropping to around -9?C. Moderate northwesterly winds.Monday: Mostly dry. Alpine temperatures around -8?C. Moderate westerly winds.Tuesday: Light snowfall. Alpine temperatures around -4?C. Strong westerly winds.
Avalanche Summary
There have been no recent reports of avalanches from this area.
Snowpack Summary
10-15 cm low density snow sits above a weak layer of well developed surface hoar. At present, the snow above this weak layer is not sufficiently deep and has not yet consolidated into a cohesive slab to set up the structure required for slab avalanches. Bear in mind, however, as more snow is added to the snowpack and the processes of settlement the uppre snowpack, the more likely slab avalanches become. We typically see dangerous slab avalanches start to occur when the depth to the weak layer reaches approximately 40 cm. Below the surface issues, the mid pack is strong. The basal snowpack layers are faceted. However, we have not had reports of instabilities affecting the lower layers in this area.
Problems
Wind Slabs
Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Dec 18th, 2011 8:00AM