Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Dec 17th, 2011 9:22AM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Wind Slabs.

Avalanche Canada jfloyer, Avalanche Canada

Summary

Confidence

Fair - Intensity of incoming weather is uncertain

Weather Forecast

Sunday: light snowfall with 3-5 cm expected. Alpine temperatures dropping to around -9?C. Moderate northwesterly winds.Monday: Mostly dry. Alpine temperatures around -8?C. Moderate westerly winds.Tuesday: Light snowfall. Alpine temperatures around -4?C. Strong westerly winds.

Avalanche Summary

There have been no recent reports of avalanches from this area.

Snowpack Summary

10-15 cm low density snow sits above a weak layer of well developed surface hoar. At present, the snow above this weak layer is not sufficiently deep and has not yet consolidated into a cohesive slab to set up the structure required for slab avalanches. Bear in mind, however, as more snow is added to the snowpack and the processes of settlement the uppre snowpack, the more likely slab avalanches become. We typically see dangerous slab avalanches start to occur when the depth to the weak layer reaches approximately 40 cm. Below the surface issues, the mid pack is strong. The basal snowpack layers are faceted. However, we have not had reports of instabilities affecting the lower layers in this area.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs
Moderate to strong south west winds have set up localized wind slabs on north through east aspects along ridgelines. Note winds are forecast to shift to the northwest. Watch for new loading on southeast aspects.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible - Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2

Valid until: Dec 18th, 2011 8:00AM