Avalog
Register
Get forecast notifications
Create an account to receive email notifications when forecasts are published.
Register
Login
Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Apr 3rd, 2022–Apr 4th, 2022
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Lizard-Flathead.

Keep an eye on snow accumulation and be prepared to dial back your terrain selection throughout the day. New storm slabs will increase in size and sensitivity to triggering.

Confidence

Low - Uncertainty is due to the track & intensity of the incoming weather system.

Weather Forecast

Sunday night: Stormy with up to 5 cm of new snow expected. Moderate to strong southwest winds. Freezing level falling to 1200 m.

MONDAY: stormy with 10 to 25 cm of snow expected. strong southwest wind and freezing level around 1600 m.

TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy with around 5 cm of new snow expected. Moderate west wind and freezing level around 1600 m.

Wednesday: Sunny with no new snow expected. Light to moderate westerly winds and freezing levels rising to 1800 m.

Avalanche Summary

On Saturday ski cutting produced several small slab avalanches and wet loose avalanches. 

We suspect that rider triggerable storm slabs will form throughout the day on Monday.

Snowpack Summary

New storm and wind slabs will likely form throughout the day on Monday. A crust exists on all aspects to around 2500 m and likely to mountain top on sun affected slopes. This crust will likely become moist at lower elevations as the freezing level rises. 

 The mid and lower snowpack are generally strong and well bonded.

Terrain and Travel

  • Watch for fresh storm slabs building throughout the day.
  • Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind affected terrain.

Avalanche Problems

Storm Slabs

New storm and wind slabs will likely form throughout the day. Size and sensitivity to triggering will be greatest near ridge crests and steep roll overs on north and east facing terrain where wind loading is likely to occur.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Very Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2