Avalog Join
Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Jan 27th, 2024–Jan 28th, 2024
Alpine
4: High
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be high
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be considerable
Alpine
4: High
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be high
Treeline
4: High
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be high
Below Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be considerable
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Recent heavy precipitation, wind and continued warm temperatures have destabilized the snowpack. Very large avalanches have been observed in the region recently.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

Saturday: Numerous large and very large (up to size 4) naturally-triggered avalanches were observed in the Bear Pass area.

Thursday: Two small natural and rider-triggered wet slabs were observed.

Wednesday: Several naturally-triggered large (size 2) avalanches were observed in the Bear Pass area.

Snowpack Summary

Up to 60 cm of snow has fallen in parts of the region over the last week. This snow is likely very dense, settling rapidly, and moist or wet at treeline elevations and below, where some of this snow fell as rain. In some areas this snow overlies a weak layer of surface hoar and facets that formed earlier in the month. A thick crust from January 1st exists up to around 1600 m. There is potential for the warm temperatures and new precipitation to overload these layers triggering very large avalanches.

Weather Summary

Saturday Night

Cloudy with 2-8 cm of new snow / light to moderate rain, southwest alpine wind 50-60 km/h, treeline temperature 1°C, freezing level 1500 m

Sunday

Cloudy with 1-3 cm of snow / light rain, southerly alpine wind 75-80 km/h, treeline high of 2 °C, freezing level 1500-1600 m.

Monday

Cloudy with 15-30 cm of new snow / moderate to heavy rain, southerly alpine wind 70-80 km/h, treeline high of 3 °C, freezing level between 1500-1800 m.

Tuesday

Cloudy with 7-15 cm of snow in the alpine / moderate to heavy rain below, southwest alpine wind 55-75 km/h, treeline high of 1 °C, freezing level 1500m

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Storm slabs in motion may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.
  • Use increased caution at all elevations. Storm snow is forming touchy slabs.
  • As surface loses cohesion due to melting, loose wet avalanches become common in steeper terrain.

Avalanche Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm slabs are likely to be very reactive to human triggering today and may be wet slabs at lower elevations.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Likely - Very Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 3.5

Loose Wet

Loose wet avalanches can be destructive due to their high density.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Treeline, Below Treeline.

Likelihood: Very Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2