Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Jan 27th, 2024 4:00PM
The alpine rating is Storm Slabs and Loose Wet.
, the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems includeRecent heavy precipitation, wind and continued warm temperatures have destabilized the snowpack. Very large avalanches have been observed in the region recently.
Summary
Confidence
Moderate
Avalanche Summary
Saturday: Numerous large and very large (up to size 4) naturally-triggered avalanches were observed in the Bear Pass area.
Thursday: Two small natural and rider-triggered wet slabs were observed.
Wednesday: Several naturally-triggered large (size 2) avalanches were observed in the Bear Pass area.
Snowpack Summary
Up to 60 cm of snow has fallen in parts of the region over the last week. This snow is likely very dense, settling rapidly, and moist or wet at treeline elevations and below, where some of this snow fell as rain. In some areas this snow overlies a weak layer of surface hoar and facets that formed earlier in the month. A thick crust from January 1st exists up to around 1600 m. There is potential for the warm temperatures and new precipitation to overload these layers triggering very large avalanches.
Weather Summary
Saturday Night
Cloudy with 2-8 cm of new snow / light to moderate rain, southwest alpine wind 50-60 km/h, treeline temperature 1°C, freezing level 1500 m
Sunday
Cloudy with 1-3 cm of snow / light rain, southerly alpine wind 75-80 km/h, treeline high of 2 °C, freezing level 1500-1600 m.
Monday
Cloudy with 15-30 cm of new snow / moderate to heavy rain, southerly alpine wind 70-80 km/h, treeline high of 3 °C, freezing level between 1500-1800 m.
Tuesday
Cloudy with 7-15 cm of snow in the alpine / moderate to heavy rain below, southwest alpine wind 55-75 km/h, treeline high of 1 °C, freezing level 1500m
More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.
Terrain and Travel Advice
- Storm slabs in motion may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.
- Use increased caution at all elevations. Storm snow is forming touchy slabs.
- As surface loses cohesion due to melting, loose wet avalanches become common in steeper terrain.
Problems
Storm Slabs
Storm slabs are likely to be very reactive to human triggering today and may be wet slabs at lower elevations.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Loose Wet
Loose wet avalanches can be destructive due to their high density.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Treeline, Below Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Jan 28th, 2024 4:00PM