Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Feb 21st, 2022 4:00PM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Wind Slabs and Storm Slabs.

Aaron Beardmore,

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While cold temperatures are helping to improve conditions, be on the lookout for wind slabs in lee areas. 

Summary

Weather Forecast

The cold snap will continue Tuesday with alpine temperatures as cold as -30. A warming trend and return to seasonal temps will start Wednesday. The wind will shift to the East and remain in the moderate range Tuesday into Wednesday. Little to no snow is expected for the next 3 days.

Snowpack Summary

30-45 cm of recent storm snow was being redistributed into soft slabs in alpine areas on Monday. The new wind slabs could be overlying older and deeper ones from the previous wind event. The Jan 30th surface hoar/sun crust layer is variable in distribution, is 40-60 cm down and is producing hard sudden planar results in some snowpack tests.

Avalanche Summary

The forecasting team observed 3 loose dry avalanches coming from extreme terrain on Mt. Ogden today. While the powder clouds were impressive, there was little mass in any of the 3 avalanches barely constituting a size 1. Additionally, the forecasting team remote triggered a size 1 wind slab on a moraine feature. See MIN for photo.

Confidence

Due to the number and quality of field observations on Monday

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

Wind slabs that exist from redistribution of recent storm snow still exist in the alpine and some tree line locations. The wind slabs are sitting on a variety of surfaces like hard slabs, SH and facets.

  • Be careful with wind loaded pockets, especially near ridge crests and roll-overs.
  • Watch for surface cracking and stiffer surface layers of snow.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 2

Storm Slabs

An icon showing Storm Slabs

With up to 45cm of recent storm snow, some areas may have developed a storm slab. Expect this to be more reactive in areas where the bed surface exists as a crust. Little in the way of avalanche activity has occurred with this problem as of Monday.

  • Watch for fresh storm slabs on exposed lee slopes and open areas at all elevations.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Unlikely

Expected Size

1 - 2

Valid until: Feb 22nd, 2022 4:00PM

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