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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Feb 13th, 2023–Feb 14th, 2023
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Expect to find wind slabs in lee terrain features.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

Poor visibility led to only a few avalanche observations over the weekend, including evidence of a natural cycle of large (size 2 to 3) wind slabs in lee terrain features in the alpine. We anticipate receiving more avalanche observations as the clouds clear.

Looking ahead, riders could still trigger wind slabs in lee terrain features as they slowly bond to the snowpack. There is also a possibility of triggering deeper layers described in the Snowpack Summary.

Snowpack Summary

Variable snowfall amounts accumulated across the region over the weekend but most areas received around 20 cm with strong southwest wind. The wind scoured wind-exposed terrain and formed wind slabs in lee terrain features.

A melt-freeze crust is found about 80 cm deep, with reported good bonding to it. An old surface hoar layer from early January may be found about 100 to 150 cm. Neither of these layers have produced recent avalanches.

Weather Summary

Monday Night

Clear skies with no precipitation, 20 km/h northwest wind, treeline temperature -13 °C.

Tuesday

Mix of sun and cloud with no precipitation, 20 km/h west wind, treeline temperature -11 °C.

Wednesday

Cloudy with snowfall, accumulation 5 to 10 cm, 40 to 60 km/h southwest wind, treeline temperature -9 °C.

Thursday

Cloudy with snowfall then clearing, accumulation 5 to 10 cm, 20 km/h west wind, treeline temperature -9 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind affected terrain.
  • Watch for signs of instability like whumpfing, hollow sounds, shooting cracks or recent avalanches.
  • Avoid areas with a thin or variable snowpack.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Riders could trigger wind slabs in lee terrain features from recent snow and strong southwest wind. Assess for slab properties in steep and consequential terrain before committing.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Persistent Slabs

It remains possible that riders could trigger various buried layers. The most likely terrain feature to trigger them is within upper treeline and alpine elevations in shallow, rocky start zones.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Unlikely

Expected Size: 2 - 3