Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Jan 14th, 2012 9:36AM
The alpine rating is Wind Slabs and Loose Dry.
, the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems includeSummary
Confidence
Fair - Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather is uncertain on Monday
Weather Forecast
Overnight Saturday: Another 5-10cm should bring storm snow amounts to 20-30cm.Sunday: Flurries. Cold temperatures, with the freezing level near valley floor. Northerly winds.Monday/Tuesday: Two main influences will battle for control of the region's weather: cold arctic air and a low pressure centre near Vancouver Island with an associated westerly flow. Expect some flurries, cold temperatures and the chance of strong outflow (northerly or easterly) winds if the arctic air dominates.
Avalanche Summary
No new avalanches have been reported.
Snowpack Summary
Treeline snowpack depths are around 250cm.New snow has been shifted into wind slabs overlying a hard crust, which is topped by surface hoar in some locations. It may be easy to trigger slabs on this interface, which is most prevalent below 1900m. Deeper in the snowpack, a series of old storm snow layers and wind slabs have generally bonded well to each other and are now gaining strength, with hard results in snowpack tests.Concern for lower snowpack layers has diminished and remains only in shallow snowpack areas. Facets associated with a crust from mid-December and/or sugary facets at the base of the snowpack may still be a concern in shallow areas. Cornices are large and have shown fragility recently.
Problems
Wind Slabs
Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Loose Dry
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Jan 15th, 2012 8:00AM