Avalog Join
Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Feb 3rd, 2017–Feb 4th, 2017
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be considerable
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Regions: Sea To Sky.

New snow and wind will build touchy and reactive storm slabs through the weekend. Conservative terrain choices are crucial.

Confidence

Moderate - Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather system is uncertain on Saturday

Weather Forecast

The weather pattern has finally shifted as a surface low moves onto the Coast bringing new snow through the weekend. Saturday: Snow amounts 10-20 cm with light- gusting strong southwest winds. Alpine temperatures near -8 and freezing levels 700 m. Sunday: Snow amounts 5-10 cm with strong southwest winds. Alpine temperatures -10.Monday: Trace of new snow with ridgetop winds light from the southwest. Alpine temperatures near -3.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches were reported on Thursday. New  reactive storm slabs will build through the weekend.

Snowpack Summary

New snow has buried a wide variety of old snow surfaces including stiff wind slab or wind effected snow at upper elevations, sun crust on steep southerly slopes, surface hoar and surface facets in sheltered locations. The mid-January interface (facets) is buried approximately 60-100 cm down and recent snowpack tests have shown hard, yet sudden planar results. A total of 60-120 cm of settled storm snow now forms the upper snowpack and is generally bonded to a crust below. The exception may be thin rocky areas that host deeper weaknesses. The mid and lower snowpack are generally well settled, but still feature a number of facet and crust layers that are currently dormant but require monitoring with significant change.

Avalanche Problems

Storm Slabs

New storm slabs will likely have a poor bond to the old snow surfaces especially on leeward slopes that are wind loaded.
Avoid steep convexities or areas with a thin or variable snowpack.Avoid avalanche terrain during periods of heavy loading from new snow and wind.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2