Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Dec 22nd, 2013 8:07AM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is considerable, and the below treeline rating is moderate. Known problems include Wind Slabs.

Avalanche Canada esharp, Avalanche Canada

Avalanche danger will increase through the day with the forecast snow and winds.

Summary

Confidence

Good - Timing of incoming weather systems is uncertain on Monday

Weather Forecast

Synopsis: A cold front will push over the Southern Interior Monday bringing light precipitation before the region sees a return to a drier northwesterly flow through the rest forecast period.Tonight and Monday: Snow starting overnight and continuing into Monday will bring accumulations of between 7-15 cm. Winds will be moderate to strong NW at ridgetop. The freezing level is forecast to be 700 m.Tuesday: Cloudy with sunny periods. Ridgetop winds be light from the west. Freezing levels dropping through the day to valley bottom.Wednesday: Cloudy with sunny periods. A temperature inversion is likely with an above freezing layer above 1900m.

Avalanche Summary

Numerous loose dry natural sluffing up to size 1 from steeper terrain features. Small pockets of wind slab are easily rider triggered/

Snowpack Summary

Recent light snowfall and strong westerly have winds formed pockets of soft wind slab on lee slopes and scoured windward slopes in exposed terrain. Loose dry surface sluffing is likely on most steeper slopes and terrain features. Two layers of surface hoar can be found buried in the upper snowpack but are currently not deep enough to be a concern.A little deeper (between 35 - 50 cm below the surface) you may find a weak layer of surface hoar on sheltered slopes or a crust/facet combo on steep solar aspects. Most reports indicate either that this layer is "stubborn" to trigger, or that there is not a deep enough overlying slab to create a significant hazard. That said I'd recommend keeping it on the radar, especially as the snow load above gradually increases.In general, snowpack depths are below seasonal average with many slopes below treeline still reported to be below threshold for avalanche activity. Deeper snow is likely in the northern part of the region.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs
Strong westerly ridgetop winds will continue to load pockets of wind slab on lee slopes and cross-loaded features. Rider triggering is possible, particularly in steep unsupported terrain.
Avoid freshly wind loaded features.>Use ridges or ribs to avoid pockets of wind loaded snow.>

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible - Likely

Expected Size

1 - 3

Valid until: Dec 23rd, 2013 2:00PM

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