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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Mar 5th, 2016–Mar 6th, 2016
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Weaker midpack layers and the potential for sudden dramatic warming Sunday indicate the need to have options if the sun pops out where you are. In general it is getting better but avoid center punching the steep open slopes for a while still.

Weather Forecast

Rising freezing levels (up to 2000m) with moderate West winds and small amounts of precipitation are forecast for Sunday. Watch for sunny periods that will greatly increase warming.

Snowpack Summary

Valley bottoms have begun to melt out. Warm days and cool nights are bringing us to the edge of spring conditions below treeline. At treeline and above there are suncrusts, windslabs near ridgecrests, and rotten weak pockets in shallower areas. In most areas it is still possible to find a layer of rotten facets in the midpack underlying a slab.

Avalanche Summary

Poor visibility limited observations, but no new avalanches were seen today.

Confidence

Freezing levels are uncertain

Avalanche Problems

Deep Persistent Slabs

The mid-pack facets remain weak, especially in thin or rocky areas. Avoid steep or unsupported terrain, and watch for signs of instability such as whumphing and cracking. This weakness is slowly healing but will be present for some time.
Be aware of thin areas that may propogate to deeper instabilites.Minimize exposure to steep, sun exposed slopes when the solar radiation is strong.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 2 - 3

Wind Slabs

SW winds have created small wind slabs in leeward ares near ridge crests. Use common sense to avoid these places, and pay attention to the snow surface conditions while touring - you can usually detect wind slabs easily.
If triggered the storm/wind slabs may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.

Aspects: North, North East, East.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Cornices

Warm temperatures over the weekend combined with moderate west winds and some light precipitation could result in increased cornice failures. Minimize your exposure to cornices and the slopes below them as the day heats up.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2