Avalanche Forecast

Moderate - Forecast snowfall amounts are uncertain on Monday

Sunday: Cloudy with sunny periods and isolated flurries bringing a trace of new snow. Winds light from the southeast. Temperature inversion bringing alpine temperatures to -8.Monday: Mainly cloudy with isolated flurries bringing a trace of new snow. Winds light gusting to extreme from the southwest. Alpine temperatures to -7.Tuesday: A mix of sun and cloud with no new snow. Winds light to moderate from the northeast. Alpine temperatures to -13.

Explosives control in the southern Alberta Rockies produced a Size 2 result in a heavily wind loaded start zone on Friday. A pocket of wind slab released to Size 1 under skier traffic in the same area on Friday. Wind slabs are expected to remain reactive to human triggers with ongoing winds keeping slabs touchy and highly variable snowpack depths keeping trigger points easy to strike.

Recent moderate northerly winds have continued to load our wind slabs on south and west aspects. In some areas these wind slabs may be sitting on an old scoured surface that was stripped by previous strong westerly winds that developed wind slabs on north and east aspects. The newer wind slabs are probably easier to trigger, but the old wind slabs may continue to release with the added load of a rider, especially where they are sitting on a shallow weak sugary base. The mid snowpack is generally right side up, with the mid-December interface down 40-80cms, giving inconsistent results in snowpack tests. There is some faceting below this interface but resistances are good and showing signs of rounding (stabilizing). Travel conditions have been challenging (especially at lower elevations) and little change is expected until a significant warm up helps to settle the snowpack.