Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Dec 30th, 2011 9:35AM
The alpine rating is Wind Slabs and Persistent Slabs.
, the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems includeSummary
Confidence
Fair - Forecast snowfall amounts are uncertain on Saturday
Weather Forecast
The snow from Friday should have stopped by Saturday morning, leaving about 10 cm in the Nelson area and closer to 15 cm further south. Saturday should be mostly clear and a bit cooler, but still warm for this time of year. The freezing level is expected to be 700 metres on Saturday, and rising to 1000 metres on Sunday. The next system is forecast to hit the coast on Sunday. High cloud is expected to move in from the Northwest during the day, and may turn to snow by Monday morning. Forecast snow amounts are uncertain for Monday. Some models show the precipitation being confined to the coast.
Avalanche Summary
Natural avalanche activity reported today was limited to a natural wind slab release size 2.5 from an East aspect. We continue to get reports of old activity that occurred during the recent storm.
Snowpack Summary
Height of snow in the Koko Claims area is 120 cm at 200 metres. The mid-december surface hoar is down about 30 cm. The mid-pack is generally well consolidated, and there is a 20 cm layer of 4F facets and depth hoar at the ground. The surface hoar is producing easy to moderate shear test results.
Problems
Wind Slabs
Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Persistent Slabs
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Dec 31st, 2011 8:00AM