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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Feb 7th, 2020–Feb 8th, 2020
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Regions: Kootenay Boundary.

Snowfall overnight combined with strong southwest wind will form fresh wind slabs in lee terrain features at treeline and in the alpine. Highest snowfall amounts are forecast for Kootenay Pass with 20-25 cm. Be cautious when transitioning into wind affected terrain.

Confidence

Moderate - Uncertainty is due to the speed, direction, or duration of the wind and its effect on the snowpack. Forecast snowfall amounts are uncertain.

Weather Forecast

Friday Night: Snow, accumulation 10-15 cm with Kootenay Pass receiving 20-25 cm, moderate to strong southwest wind, alpine high -4 C, freezing level 1000 m.

Saturday: Cloudy with isolated flurries, accumulation up to 5 cm, light to moderate northerly wind, alpine high -4 C, freezing level 1100 m.

Sunday: Mix of sun and cloud, moderate to strong northwest wind, alpine high -10 C, freezing level 800 m.

Monday: Mostly sunny, light to moderate northerly wind, alpine high -5 C, freezing level 900 m.

Avalanche Summary

On Thursday a few large (size 2-2.5) slab avalanches released naturally during the night. One large (size 3) slab avalanche was triggered by explosives in the west of the region. Several small (size 1-1.5) slab avalanches were triggered by skiers mainly on south and east aspects. 

On Wednesday several small (size 1) slab avalanches in the alpine were triggered by skiers. Several small (size 1) natural and skier triggered loose dry avalanches were reported in steep terrain at treeline and in the alpine. 

Snowpack Summary

Wind switching directions has redistributed recent new snow onto a variety of aspects. The snow surface varies from low density in wind sheltered areas to wind slab at all elevations. Specific terrain features at treeline and in the alpine are scoured to a crust from early February. As high as 2000 m, the upper snowpack contains a crust from recent warming and rain events. Generally the recent storm snow seems to bond well with the crust below. Several avalanches were observed to release within the recent storm snow. However, some avalanches slid on the crust below. 

Weak facet/crust layers near the base of the snowpack are particularly noteworthy in the western Boundary area.

Terrain and Travel

  • Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind affected terrain.
  • Recent wind has varied in direction so watch for wind slabs on all aspects.
  • Be alert to conditions that change with elevation.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Moderate to strong southwest wind overnight combined with new snow will create fresh wind slabs in lee terrain features sensitive to human triggers. Highest snowfall amounts are expected at Kootenay Pass with 20-25 cm. 

Wind has recently switched direction from southwest to northwest and back again. At treeline elevations, wind slabs may overly a crust from early February which may make for a favorable sliding surface.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2.5