Avalanche Forecast

This week has exhibited a major warming trend for the first time to Vancouver Island's mountain ranges. Clear, sunny weather and light winds will continue to deteriorate stability and overall snowpack volume.

Double digit air temperatures near mountain top will persist this weekend. Friday: No new precipitation, Winds light from the South will transition to Light Northerly winds late in afternoon, Freezing level rising during the daytime to 2,900 meters (which represents the traditional "summer time" freezing level) Temps at 1500 meters up to +11 degrees.Saturday: No new precipitation, Winds light from the South will transition to Light Northerly winds late in afternoon, Freezing level rising to 3,000 meters. Temps at 1500 meters up to + 12 degrees.Sunday: No new precipitation, Winds light from the North, Freezing levels dropping to 2700 meters (due to cooling from Northerly winds). Temps at 1500 meters +10 degrees.

Please respect the current closures at Mount Washington, no access is permitted at anytime on the ski areas slopes or terrain.During periods of intense warming and sunshine, avoid solar facing terrain.Avoid travelling both above and below cornices.Early Starts may help to ensure you can accomplish your trip objective prior to day time high's where snowpack will become highly unstable.Concern remains with fact that snowpack is not undergoing any freezing temperatures overnight and therefore continuing to destabilize layering within the Mountain ranges of Vancouver Island.Possibility of isothermal snow may make for extremely challenging and dangerous travel as snow may readily collapse under an individual's weight.

Double digit air temperatures, coupled with strong sun and limited winds are reducing the overall mountain snowpack volume on Vancouver Island. The weather pattern will continue throughout the weekend further reducing snowpack volume as lower elevation band snowpack will become isothermal.

• Surface: Wet melting snow surface and isothermal snow at Below Treeline elevation band
• Upper: Wet snowpack possibly destabilized layers as a result of melt water percolating and exacerbating interface instabilities
• Mid: Wet snowpack possibly destabilized layers as a result of melt water percolating and exacerbating interface instabilities
• Lower: Well settled and dense.

Moderate - Avalanche danger ratings reflect the highest danger level expected over the course of the day (mid-day during peak of day-time heating). Weather forecast models are very well aligned and provide support to the forecasted avalanche problems.