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Avalanche Forecast

Mar 7th, 2021–Mar 8th, 2021
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Jasper.

You can now find a melt freeze crust on solar aspects up to tree line. A slight change in your aspect can be the difference between finding dry powder and a breakable crust. Caution as the sun comes out on solar aspects.

Weather Forecast

The temperatures continue to drop slowly to lows of -15 overnight.

A mix of sun and cloud with moderate SW-W winds.

No real snow accumulation is expected.

Snowpack Summary

Warm temps and high solar input have created crusts and moist snow on solar aspects at TL and below. Continuing SW winds have extensively redistributed the snow pack at TL and ALP. The mid pack is supportive in deep areas, but shallow snowpack areas are weak and failing on buried facet layers in test results.

Avalanche Summary

Field teams down south today noted no new avalanche activity today. Limited visibility in the alpine.

Confidence

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Ongoing moderate SW winds will continue to form slabs in the alpine and exposed tree line features. These wind slabs sit on the Feb 20th facet interface giving hard test results

  • If triggered the wind slabs may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2.5

Deep Persistent Slabs

Caution in thin facetted snowpack areas where triggering is more likely. This is a low probability but high consequence problem.

  • Avoid shallow snowpack areas where triggering is more likely.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 2 - 3