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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Mar 9th, 2021–Mar 10th, 2021
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Jasper.

A small refresh of snow is forecasted for tomorrow. This will bury sun crusts on solar aspects up in to tree line. As we start the transition in to the spring season. Timing is very important. Plan accordingly and finish early.

Weather Forecast

Wednesday will see up to 5cm of snow with moderate winds.

Thursday will be a mix of sun and cloud with cold lows -18 warming to -8 during the day

Snowpack Summary

High solar input have created crusts and moist snow on solar aspects at TL and below. Continuing SW winds have extensively redistributed the snow pack at TL and ALP. The mid pack is supportive in deep areas, but shallow snowpack areas are weak and failing on buried facet layers in test results.

Avalanche Summary

Field teams down south today noted no new avalanche activity today.

Confidence

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

New snow and wind will build fresh wind slabs that overlie previous wind slabs. This all sits on top of the Feb 20th facet interface.

  • If triggered the wind slabs may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Deep Persistent Slabs

Caution in thin facetted snowpack areas where triggering is more likely. This is a low probability but high consequence problem.

  • Avoid shallow snowpack areas where triggering is more likely.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 2 - 3