Avalanche Forecast

Moderate -

Tuesday: Mainly cloudy with possible isolated flurries bringing a trace of new snow. Winds light from the northwest. Freezing level to 800 metres with alpine temperatures of -8. Wednesday: Mainly cloudy with isolated flurries and a trace of new snow. Winds light from the northwest. Freezing level to 600 metres and alpine temperatures around -10. Thursday: Mainly cloudy with isolated flurries and a trace of new snow. Winds light from the northwest. Freezing levels around 700 metres with alpine temperatures to -9.

Preliminary information regarding the backcountry skier fatality on Saturday is that it occurred on a S/SE facing aspect near 2050m in a cross-loaded feature. Reports from Sunday include several natural Size 1-1.5 wind slab avalanches that occurred on a northwest aspect after a bout of rapid wind loading over the morning.We also had a great MIN report of a cornice-triggered Size 2 on Friday near Cabin Peak in the Bonnington range. The initial failure was in the storm slab on a southeast aspect near 2000m but more significantly was observed stepping down to trigger a weak layer deeper in the snowpack.

A complex and tricky snowpack exists in the Kootenay Boundary region. By Sunday morning another 3-12 cm added to the previous 35-55 cm of fresh snow from last week (which was accompanied by moderate to strong southerly winds). This resulted in touchy storm and wind slabs bonding poorly to the previous snow surface that includes facets and large surface hoar on sheltered slopes and/or a sun crust on steep sun-exposed aspects. The Jan 17th surface hoar layer continues to give easy sudden results in snowpack tests (down anywhere from 30 to 60cms depending on location). In some areas of the Rossland range, the mid-November rain crust / facet layer is now likely down 60-100 cm and has become reactive with continued loading and warming. In thin rocky areas, particularly in the Rossland range, recent reports include easy sudden collapse snowpack test results on facets down 120-150 cm near the ground. This deep persistent weakness may also become reactive with continued loading and warming.