Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Mar 22nd, 2022 4:00PM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is moderate. Known problems include Loose Wet, Cornices and Wind Slabs.

Avalanche Canada TRettie, Avalanche Canada

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Elevated freezing levels mean that wet loose avalanches and natural cornice falls are likely to continue.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate -

Weather Forecast

Tuesday night: Flurries bringing trace amounts of new snow at higher elevation with moderate to strong south-southwest winds. Freezing level around 1700 m.

Wednesday: Cloudy with up to 10 cm of new snow at higher elevations. Strong southerly winds . Freezing level around 1700 m during the day then falling to 1000m in the evening.

Thursday: A mix of sun and cloud with no new snow expected. Light variable winds and freezing levels rising to 1500 m.

Friday: Cloudy with the possibility of light flurries bringing trace amounts of snow. Moderate south-southwest winds and freezing levels rising to 1800 m.

Avalanche Summary

On Monday a natural cornice fall triggered a size three slab avalanche on the slope below. This avalanche was triggered at 1800 m on a northeast aspect, it ran full path. Several other cornice falls were reported throughout the region.

Ski cutting and explosive control produced storm and wind slab avalanches up to size two.

Snowpack Summary

Wind slabs can be found on north and east aspects in the alpine. Moist snow will likely be observed on all aspects and elevations. As the freezing level begins to drop a crust will likely form on all aspects and elevations.

40 to 90 cm overlies the mid March layer. This layer presents as surface hoar in shady, wind-sheltered areas and a hard melt-freeze crust on all aspects below 1700 m and on sun-exposed slopes into the alpine. No avalanche activity has taken place on this layer recently and observations suggest the slab above is well bonded.

Terrain and Travel

  • Back off slopes as the surface becomes moist or wet with rising temperatures.
  • Use extra caution around cornices: they are large, fragile, and can trigger slabs on slopes below.
  • Be careful as you transition into wind affected terrain.

Problems

Loose Wet

An icon showing Loose Wet

Elevated freezing levels mean that wet loose avalanches are still likely. size and likelihood of these avalanches could increase on south and west facing slopes in the afternoon if the sun comes out.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2

Cornices

An icon showing Cornices

 Ongoing winds have formed overhanging cornices. The likelihood of natural cornice falls can increase with warming and solar input Cornice falls can trigger large avalanches on the slopes below.

Aspects: North, North East, East, North West.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1.5 - 2.5

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

 Wind slabs could still be found in high alpine terrain.

Aspects: North, North East, East, West, North West.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 1.5

Valid until: Mar 23rd, 2022 4:00PM