Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Jan 13th, 2016 8:13AM
The alpine rating is Storm Slabs.
, the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems includeStorm slabs continue to develop with each pulse of new snow and wind. Expect storm slabs and pockets of wind transported snow to continue to be easy to trigger.
Summary
Confidence
Moderate - Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather system is uncertain on Thursday
Weather Forecast
Another 3-5 cm of new snow combined with moderate southwest winds overnight as the freezing levels drop back to valley bottoms. Flurries or periods of light snow on Thursday combined with moderate northwest winds and alpine temperatures around -5. Some flurries expected on Friday with a chance of broken skies in the afternoon; winds light southwest and alpine temperatures around -10. Increasing southwest winds on Saturday with increased cloud and some flurries or light snow.
Avalanche Summary
No new avalanches reported. Expect natural storm snow avalanche cycle occurred today. Storm snow may continue to be easy to trigger, and avalanche size may increase with continued storm loading.
Snowpack Summary
Another 5-15 cm of new snow was recorded by Wednesday morning. The recent storm snow total is now 10-25 cm. that is sitting on recent surface hoar and near surface facets. Some operations reported a thin freezing drizzle crust on the snow surface before the Wednesday morning snow arrived. New building storm slabs and isolated wind slabs overlie old surfaces including surface hoar, facets, and possible sun crusts on steep southerly aspects. Below this, the upper pack is mostly drying out (through faceting). In general, the mid and lower snowpack are strong, with any weak layers considered dormant for now. Snowpack depths are variable and shallow snowpack areas may have weak facetted crystals near the ground.
Problems
Storm Slabs
Forecast new snow and wind are expected to continue to develop storm slabs at all elevations. Pockets of wind transported snow may deep and easy to trigger where they are sitting on buried weak surface hoar crystals.
Minimize exposure during periods of heavy loading from new snow, wind.>The new snow will require several days to settle and stabilize.>
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Jan 14th, 2016 2:00PM