Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Mar 1st, 2014 8:22AM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is considerable, and the below treeline rating is moderate. Known problems include Persistent Slabs.

Avalanche Canada jlammers, Avalanche Canada

Although the frequency of natural avalanches has gone down recently, the possibility of triggering a large, destructive avalanche is still very real. See the Forecasters Blog for more insight into this tricky situation.

Summary

Confidence

Fair - Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain on Monday

Weather Forecast

The current ridge of high pressure will break down allowing for a series of pacific frontal systems to bring snowfall to the region for the forecast period.Sunday: Overcast skies and light snowfall / Light southeast winds / Freezing level at surfaceMonday: Light snowfall / Moderate to strong southwest winds / Freezing level at 700mSunday: Moderate snowfall / Moderate southwest winds / Freezing level at 800m

Avalanche Summary

Although avalanche reports have diminished in recent days, reports of remotely triggered avalanches in neighbouring regions suggest that large slab avalanches on the February 10th interface are still a real possibility.

Snowpack Summary

Snow surfaces include well-settled powder, surface hoar in sheltered areas and a thin sun crust on solar aspects. Recent variable winds have also created wind pressing in exposed terrain, and thin wind slabs may be found in some alpine features.The big news remains a mix of weak surfaces which were buried on February 10th. This persistent interface lies on average a metre below the surface, and includes surface hoar, well developed facets and a mix of hard surfaces which remain widespread at all aspects and elevations. Although avalanche activity has tapered-off at this interface, destructive avalanches are still a very real concern with ongoing reports of remote-triggering and sudden snowpack test result results. This low probability/high consequence scenario is tricky to manage as the warning signs may not be as obvious. It's all about terrain choice. Put the odds in your favour by avoiding steep, unsupported slopes, areas with a thin or variable snowpack, or terrain with a significant overhead hazardFor the most part, the mid and lower snowpack are strong and well consolidated. Weak basal facets exist in some areas, but triggering has now become unlikely.

Problems

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs
A deep, dense slab overlies a variety of weak layers and is still touchy in some areas. Put the odds in your favour by avoiding steep, unsupported slopes, areas with a thin or variable snowpack, or terrain with a significant overhead hazard
Be aware of the potential for large, deep avalanches due to the presence of buried weak layers.>Avoid convexities or areas with a thin or variable snowpack.>Avoid exposure to overhead avalanche terrain, large avalanches may reach the end of run out zones.>

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

2 - 5

Valid until: Mar 2nd, 2014 2:00PM

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