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Avalanche Forecast

Jan 14th, 2018–Jan 15th, 2018
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: South Coast Inland.

Continued warm temperatures will make the snow surface moist and primed for loose wet avalanches on steep terrain.

Confidence

Moderate - Timing or intensity of solar radiation is uncertain on Monday

Weather Forecast

Monday: A mix of sun and cloud with warm air remaining at higher elevations and cold air remaining in the valleys. Freezing level 2800m. Light southeasterly winds.Tuesday: 5-10 cm new snow. Freezing level around 1400 m. Moderate southerly winds.Wednesday: 5-10 cm new snow. Freezing level around 1000m. Strong southerly winds.

Avalanche Summary

Loose snow avalanches are likely on steep terrain at all elevations, but may entrain more mass on southerly aspects if the sun comes out.

Snowpack Summary

Recent warm weather has made the surface moist, especially at upper elevations. Below the moist surface, about 30-50 cm snow overlies a thick crust that was buried on January 6. This crust exists up to about 2000m. Mid and lower snowpack layers are considered well settled and generally strong.

Avalanche Problems

Loose Wet

Loose snow avalanches are expected, particular on slopes that face the sun.
Use extra caution on solar slopes or if the snow is moist or wet.Avoid exposure to terrain traps where the consequences of a small avalanche could be serious.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Very Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2