Summary
Confidence
High - Stable weather pattern.
Travel & Terrain Advice
Avoid avalanche terrain on solar aspects in the afternoon and give cornices a wide berth when on ridgetop or below.
Avalanche Summary
Size 1 natural loose wet avalanches from steep solar aspects in the afternoon at treeline and below mostly originating from rocks and trees.
Snowpack Summary
No new snow since Thursday, which has settled and bonded well to previous old surfaces. Warm temperatures and high freezing levels on Sunday created moist snow on all but polar alpine aspects which remain dry. Clear skies overnight have created melt freeze crusts on previously moist aspects. Recent winds have grown cornices at ridgetop on NW through NE aspects.
Snowpack Details
Surface: Diurnal melt freeze with the exception of polar alpine aspects. Upper: Old snow bonding and settling. Mid: Well settled. Lower: Well settled.
Past Weather
Spring diurnal. Warm during the day, cold at night. Light winds and no new snow.
Weather Forecast
Monday: Clear skies, freezing levels to 2400m. Strong SE winds. Tuesday: 5-15mm of precipitation. Rain below 1800m with freezing levels from 2000-1200m. Strong SE winds. Wednesday: Cooling with freezing levels to 800m. Light NW winds.
Problems
Loose Wet
Solar radiation and warm temperatures will cause instabilities within surface snow. Expect natural loose wet activity from steep sunny terrain at all elevations in the afternoon. Human tiggering is highly likely. Size 1-1.5.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Cornices
Warming will create instabilities in the large cornices that have formed this winter. Natural cornice falls are possible and human triggered activity is very possible. Exposed ridges on NW through NE aspects at treeline and above could produce up to size 2 avalanches.
Aspects: North, North East, East.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Mar 14th, 2018 9:00AM
