Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Feb 5th, 2022 4:00PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Wind Slabs, Loose Wet and Persistent Slabs.

Tereza Turecka,

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Warming trend and increased solar input could wake up weak layers within the snowpack on Sunday.While the winds continue to scour the alpine, look out for loose wet avalanches below tree line on solar aspects in the afternoon.

Summary

Weather Forecast

Sunday:

A mix of sun and cloud.

Precipitation: Nil.

Alpine temperature: High -7 °C.

Ridge wind southwest: 20 km/h gusting to 45 km/h.

Freezing level at valley bottom.

Monday:

Flurries.

Accumulation: 7 cm.

Alpine temperature: Low -11 °C, High -7 °C.

Ridge wind southwest: 25 km/h gusting to 75 km/h.

Freezing level at valley bottom.

Snowpack Summary

Heavy wind effect at tree line and above. Snowpack is facetted and complex. December facet layers down 20-40cm still reactive in tests; buried surface hoar found in isolated locations.

Avalanche Summary

Road patrol on Maligne road observed few small dry loose avalanches in steep alpine terrain, and one large wind slab in steep alpine NE aspect. Icefields road patrol observed no new natural avalanche activity.

Confidence

Freezing levels are uncertain

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

Recent snow is available for transport. Wind slabs are likely in lee slopes.

  • Be careful with wind loaded pockets, especially near ridge crests and roll-overs.
  • Be aware of the potential for wide propagations due to the presence of hard windslabs.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible - Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2.5

Loose Wet

An icon showing Loose Wet

Loose wet will be of most concern in the afternoon (between 13:00- 16:00) as the solar input and temperatures increase.

  • Avoid terrain traps, such as gullies, where the consequences of a small avalanche could be serious.
  • Avoid ice climbs exposed to steep rocky terrain on solar aspects during the middle of the day.

Aspects: South East, South, South West, West.

Elevations: Below Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 1.5

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs

Persistent slabs sit over different weak layers depending on elevation & aspect. Above 1950m a buried facet layer down 20-40cm is the primary concern. Below 1950m, a faceting crust down 40-70 is presenting a more stubborn version of a similar problem

  • Dig down to find and test weak layers before committing to a line.
  • Avoid shallow snowpack areas where triggering is more likely.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 3

Valid until: Feb 6th, 2022 4:00PM