Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Feb 19th, 2022 4:00PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is moderate. Known problems include Wind Slabs and Storm Slabs.

William Lawson,

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As the storm ends Sunday and cold clear weather arrives, lingering wind slabs at upper elevations will be the primary snowpack concern.

Summary

Weather Forecast

The westerly flow will end Sunday morning as an arctic high moves into the forecast region. Sunday will be a transition day with partly cloudy skies as the cold Arctic air moves into the forecast region. By Monday the high pressure system will bring clear skies, light winds and frigid temperatures.

Snowpack Summary

20-35 cm of new snow has fallen over the past 3 days. Strong west winds creating fresh wind slabs at treeline and above. Areas to the west received the most snow. These wind slabs may release easily on the various firm surfaces underneath. The Jan 30th surface hoar/sun crust interface exists 30-50 cm below the surface and is currently unreactive.

Avalanche Summary

The forecast team had limited back country observations Saturday and no new avalanches to report. Local ski hills reported new wind slab development on lee slopes producing small slabs size 1.

Confidence

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

Consistent strong winds and snow accumulation over the past 3 days have developed wind slabs. These new winds slabs are sitting on a verity of surfaces like hard slab, SH and facets. Expect to find them in most leeward and  drifted slopes.

  • Be careful with wind loaded pockets, especially near ridge crests and roll-overs.
  • Watch for surface cracking and stiffer surface layers of snow.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2

Storm Slabs

An icon showing Storm Slabs

With up to 40cm of new snow accumulation and warm temps, some areas with high snowfall amount may have storm slab development. We have limited observations of this problem and suspect it will be short lived as cold temps arrive Monday.

  • Watch for fresh storm slabs on exposed lee slopes and open areas at all elevations.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Possible - Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2

Valid until: Feb 20th, 2022 4:00PM

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