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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Mar 9th, 2016–Mar 10th, 2016
Alpine
4: High
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be high
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Expect a small avalanche cycle Thursday if a significant storm arrives. The weak midpack is still causing problems in isolated areas. 

Weather Forecast

Forecast snowfall amounts for the next day and a half range from 10-40 cms depending on the model chosen. Deeper amounts are the basis for the danger rating.

Snowpack Summary

10-20 cm of new snow over the last couple days, becoming moist below 1700m. Buried sun crusts on solar aspects. Recent West winds have formed soft slabs in lee areas of the alpine. A firm upper snow pack sits over a generally weak mid-pack of facets and depth hoar. In shallow areas snowpack tests results are typically collapses near the ground.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches were reported today. A couple of recent close calls are worth noting however: Monday a skier accidental size 2.5 on the Collie Glacier and on Sunday a skier accidental size 2.5 near Bow Summit.

Confidence

Track of incoming weather systems is uncertain

Avalanche Problems

Deep Persistent Slabs

The mid-pack facets remain weak, especially in thin or rocky areas. Avoid steep or unsupported terrain, and watch for signs of instability such as whumphing and cracking. This weakness will be present for some time.
Be aware of thin areas that may propogate to deeper instabilites.Caution around convexities or areas with a thin or variable snowpack.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 3

Wind Slabs

Recent W winds and new snow have created soft slabs in leeward ares near ridge crests. Pay attention to the snow surface conditions while touring - you can usually detect wind slabs easily and avoid these spots.
If triggered the storm/wind slabs may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.Be careful with wind loaded pockets, especially near ridge crests and roll-overs.

Aspects: North, North East, East.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2