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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Dec 1st, 2012–Dec 2nd, 2012
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Jasper.

Snow accumulations will vary greatly across the forecast area. Pay attention to windloading if windspeeds increase into the moderate range in the afternoons.

Weather Forecast

Light snowfalls will continue through Tuesday in the icefields area with accumulations up to 30+cm.  There will be less snow accumulations around the Jasper townsite.

Snowpack Summary

Hard test results were found at treeline on facets sandwiched between the two crusts in the icefields area. The crusts are deteriorating in this area.  Windslabs continue as the main concern. Winds had shifted to more Southerly flows by late afternoon.

Avalanche Summary

Poor visibility prevented any observations but an avalanche was heard in the Hilda creek area originating from steep unskiable alpine terrain which has a Northeasterly aspect.

Confidence

Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather system is uncertain

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

A natural avalanche was "heard"  originating on steep unskiable terrain on a predominantly Northeasterly aspect in Hilda creek area. Pay particular attention to steep unsupported wind loaded slopes in the alpine.
Avoid lee and cross-loaded terrain near ridge crests.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South, South West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 3

Persistent Slabs

A persistent facetted weakness can be found around a mid-pack crust. There is low likelihood of natural avalanches occurring on this layer but we are watching as each small system deposits more snow load.
Avoid freshly wind loaded features.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 2 - 3