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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Dec 11th, 2017–Dec 12th, 2017
Alpine
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be low
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be low
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be low
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
A strong temperature inversion results in above freezing temperatures in the alpine. Ice climbers be cautious, now is a good time to avoid being under south facing slopes in the afternoon.

Weather Forecast

The high pressure ridge will dominate the region until at least Thursday. Temperatures will remain inverted with above freezing temperatures in the alpine and cooler temperatures at the valley bottoms. A weak upper low crossing the region on Tuesday will cause some high level cloud cover and some stronger winds but no precipitation is expected. 

Snowpack Summary

Small surface hoar in sheltered locations at tree-line. Sun crusts, surface faceting and wind effect on various aspects in the alpine. 15-40 cm of snow lies over the Nov 27th and Nov 23rd crusts. Both of these now overlie the Halloween crust/facet layer that sits 30-50cm above the ground.

Avalanche Summary

During the last few days with inverted temperatures yielding above freezing conditions treeline and above, only a few very small loose wet avalanches in the alpine were observed. These were in steep rocky terrain that was in the sun, and sheltered from the wind. Where observed, these did not triggered any deeper weaknesses.

Confidence

Avalanche Problems

Persistent Slabs

Some uncertainty for triggering various mid-pack layers remain, but we have come through a warm period and a lot of skier testing produced no activity over the past five days. These slabs still deserve respect in steep and shallow areas.
Be aware of thin areas that may propogate to deeper instabilites.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Unlikely

Expected Size: 1 - 2