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Avalanche Forecast

Jan 3rd, 2012–Jan 4th, 2012
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Regions: South Rockies.

Confidence

Good - -1

Weather Forecast

Wednesday: Mix of sun and cloud. Light precipitator today up to 5mm. Ridgetop winds from the SW 70-100km/hr. Freezing levels rising to 2000m throughout the day. Thursday: Snow amounts up to 5cms in the morning. Ridgetop winds from the West 55-70km/hr. Freezing levels falling back to valley bottom midday. Friday: Mix of sun and cloud. Freezing levels remain near valley bottom. Ridgetop winds light-moderate from the SW.

Avalanche Summary

On Monday a skier triggered a size 2 slab avalanche in the Harvey Pass area. A wind slab from the ridgecrest was triggered, then stepped down 55cms to a weak surface hoar/ facet layer beneath the surface. Please visit our incident report database on our website for more details @ avalanche.ca.

Snowpack Summary

The CAC Field team headed to Harvey Pass on Tuesday and completed a fracture line profile on yesterday's skier triggered avalanche. The total HS (height of snow) in that area is 180cms. A stiff wind slab was triggered and stepped down 55cms to the mid-December surface hoar/facet layer. Compression tests done showed hard results, but sudden planar characteristics. I suspect you can find this buried layer to the West of the divide in most locations. As soon as you travel to the east surface hoar is spotty, and/or non-existent. The snowpack to the east is 100-120cms in depth, and widespread wind slabs have formed lee to the SW in upper elevations. Many windward areas are scoured. The mid pack is generally well consolidated. At the bottom of the snowpack 20cms of 4F facets and depth hoar exist.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind slabs can be found on North through Southeast aspects. Cross-loading is possible on open slopes oriented parallel to the wind. You may find wind slabs further down the slope or on open wind exposed areas below treeline.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 4

Persistent Slabs

Warm temperatures may consolidate the snow above the surface hoar into a slab that may propagate wide avalanches. This mid-December surface hoar/ facet layer is found mainly in the Western parts of the region.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 3 - 6