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Avalanche Forecast

Mar 28th, 2020–Mar 30th, 2020
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Lizard-Flathead.

This forecast lacks field observations and has lots of uncertainty. This will be the last avalanche forecast of the season. Reactive wind slabs remain the primary concern, especially around ridge features and wind loaded terrain.

Confidence

Low - Uncertainty is due to the limited number of field observations.

Weather Forecast

Saturday night: Cloudy with isolated flurries, trace to 5 cm. Alpine low temperature -6 C. Moderate southwest wind. Freezing level 1300 m.

Sunday: Flurries and snow, 5-10 cm. Alpine high temperature -1 C. Moderate southwest wind gusting to strong. Freezing level 1800 m.

Monday: Flurries and snow, 10-15 cm. Alpine high temperature -5 C. Moderate to strong southwest wind. Freezing level 1500 m.

Tuesday: Cloudy with scattered flurries, 5-10 cm. Alpine high temperature -9 C. Moderate southwest wind. Freezing level 1000 m.

Avalanche Summary

We have very limited field observations at this time. There have be no new avalanches reported in the region.

Snowpack Summary

Recent snow has been impacted by wind and warm temperatures. Cold, dry snow persists at higher elevations and consists of a variety of wind affected surfaces. A crust has formed on steep solar slopes and below 1700 m. 

A layer of faceted grains down 30 to 60 cm overly a melt-freeze crust from early February. The base of the snowpack may contain a weak layer of faceted grains that are most prominent in shallow rocky start zones with a snowpack depth of 150 cm or less.

Terrain and Travel

  • Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind affected terrain.
  • Make conservative terrain choices and avoid overhead hazard.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Steady winds continue to impact loose, dry snow. The most reactive deposits will be on leeward slopes, particularly near ridgetop.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Loose Wet

Rising freezing levels and precipitation may trigger snow shedding from steep slopes.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2