Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Dec 19th, 2015 7:55AM

The alpine rating is high, the treeline rating is considerable, and the below treeline rating is moderate. Known problems include Storm Slabs and Cornices.

Avalanche Canada triley, Avalanche Canada

These danger ratings are for the south of the region where forecast snow amounts are higher than Whistler, Pemberton, and further north.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate - Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather system is uncertain on Sunday

Weather Forecast

Snow starting Saturday afternoon is forecast to continue overnight combined with very strong southerly winds. Expect 15-25 cm by Sunday morning with a chance of enhanced snowfall in the southwest of the region. Continued snowfall should bring another 10-20 cm during the day on Sunday. Snow continuing Sunday night and Monday with moderate southwest winds. Another system is poised to move onto the coast on Tuesday. Freezing levels remaining around 500 metres during the forecast period.

Avalanche Summary

No new natural avalanches reported. Skiers have reported easy to trigger pockets of windslab up to 100 cm deep that have been confined to steep un-supported features and have not run far.

Snowpack Summary

Cold and dry new snow continues to fall in the region. Moderate to strong winds in the alpine have created pockets of windslab that may be up to a metre deep, but have not been propagating long fractures. There may be a slight change in the hardness of the snow down about 50 cm due to temperature changes of individual snowfalls. This may be the most likely depth for shears in snowpack tests. The December 8th crust is down about 100 cm and has been reported to be well bonded. The storm snow is the biggest problem at this time. It may be difficult to forecast when the incremental storm amounts combine to create enough loading over a weakness to result in large avalanches.

Problems

Storm Slabs

An icon showing Storm Slabs
Forecast new snow and wind will add to the existing storm slabs. Deep pockets of wind transported snow are expected in the alpine.
Avoid avalanche terrain during periods of heavy loading from new snow and wind.>Avoid travelling in areas that have been reverse loaded by winds.>

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

1 - 4

Cornices

An icon showing Cornices
New cornice growth may be extensive and not well bonded to existing cornices. Stay well back from corniced ridges.
Extra caution needed around cornices with current conditions.>Give cornices a wide berth when travelling on or below ridges.>

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

1 - 3

Valid until: Dec 20th, 2015 2:00PM

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