Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Dec 10th, 2022 4:00PM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is considerable, and the below treeline rating is moderate. Known problems include Wind Slabs and Persistent Slabs.

Avalanche Canada wlewis, Avalanche Canada

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Recent storm snow will remain reactive to human triggers, take care when moving into wind affected terrain.

Continue to make conservative terrain choices as uncertainty exists around buried weak layers particularly at treeline elevations.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

Two persistent slab avalanches were reported to size 2 (remotely triggered), failing on the persistent weak layers buried mid November occurred on Friday, as new snow added load to the snowpack. Activity occurred from 1800-2300 mostly in sparsely treed terrain.

On Thursday several size 1 wind slab avalanches were triggered by skiers in treeline terrain. Several of these avalanches were remotely triggered, failing on buried surface hoar. Whumpfing and cracking were observed throughout the region.

Snowpack Summary

About 30 cm of new snow has been redistributed by moderate southwest winds at higher elevations. On south facing slopes this new snow has fallen on a sun crust and in sheltered terrain it sits over a layer of surface hoar.

Buried 60 to 90cm deep, a persistent layer of surface hoar, crust, and faceted crystals is the primary concern within the snowpack. This layer has been most reactive at treeline between 1700-2200 m, but it was also observed as low as 1450 m and on all aspects.

Snowpack depths are highly variable and range from 90cm at treeline to 200cm in the alpine in wind affected locations.

Weather Summary

Saturday Night

Cloudy with up to 8cm of new snow possible. Easing southerly winds. Freezing level below valley bottom.

Sunday

Mostly cloudy. Flurries in the morning bringing trace amounts of new snow and then clearing in the afternoon. Alpine high of -6. Light easterly winds.

Monday

Mostly cloudy with the possibility of light flurries bringing trace amounts of new snow. Alpine high of -9. Light easterly winds.

Tuesday

Mostly cloudy. No snow expected. Alpine high of -9. Light easterly winds.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Look for signs of instability: whumphing, hollow sounds, shooting cracks, and recent avalanches.
  • Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind affected terrain.
  • If triggered, wind slabs avalanches may step down to deeper layers resulting in larger avalanches.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

Southwest winds have redistributed recent snow into wind loaded features on west, north and east facing slopes at treeline and above. Wind slab avalanches could step down to deeper layers resulting in larger destructive avalanches.

Aspects: North, North East, East, West, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs

A weak layer of surface hoar and facets from mid November is buried 50 to 90cm deep. Two notable large and surprising avalanches occurred on this layer on Friday.

Use extra caution at treeline where this layer is more prominent and look for signs of instability like shooting cracks, whumpfing and recent avalanches. Read our newest blog to learn more about this concerning layer and how to manage it.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size

1.5 - 2.5

Valid until: Dec 11th, 2022 4:00PM

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