Avalanche Forecast

Fair - Due to limited field observations for the entire period

Wednesday: Mostly cloudy with light snowfall bringing 2-5cm of accumulation, freezing levels around 500m, and light northwesterly winds. Thursday: Mostly clear in the morning with increasing cloud throughout the day and snow starting in the evening, freezing levels rising as high as 500m, and winds increasing to moderate southwesterlies. Friday: Snow easing throughout the day with 5-15cm total since Thursday, moderate southwesterly winds and freezing levels hovering around 500m.

Reports from Monday are limited to relatively harmless surface sluffing with ski cuts. Recent explosive control work triggered several 1.5-2.0 slab avalanches on SE-SW aspects 1700 m and above. These avalanches failed on a rain crust that got buried at the beginning of December.

Weakness exist within and under recent storm snow. Most notably is surface hoar that recently gave moderate to hard but sudden results in compression tests where it has been found as large as 10mm in size down 75-100cm. Elsewhere, are facets sitting on a rain crust that recently gave moderate but resistant compression test results where they were found down 30-35cm on a southwest aspect at 2020m in a shallow area of Kootenay Pass. Near the base of the snowpack sits the early November rain crust. This layer is most likely to be found in deeper snowpack areas at higher elevations. Recent reports suggest that this deep persistent weakness has been producing inconsistent, but occasionally sudden snowpack test results and remains a concern. Keep this on your radar, especially when traveling in areas at higher elevations that have a smooth ground cover where the existing crust is uniform and consistent. Finally, expect to find significant variations in snowpack structure from one drainage to another, so digging down and making your own observations may be critical to safe slope selection.