Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Feb 15th, 2025 4:00PM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is moderate. Known problems include Persistent Slabs and Loose Dry.

Avalanche Canada Avalanche Canada, Avalanche Canada

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Flurries will increase the load on weak layers in the snowpack. Avalanches remain possible where loose snow consolidates into a cohesive slab.

Summary

Confidence

High

Avalanche Summary

Over the last week, several small skier-triggered avalanches (size 1 to 1.5) have been reported across the region. These avalanches mostly occurred on weak layers of facets and/or sun crusts roughly 20 to 40 cm below the surface.

On Wednesday a size 2.5 avalanche was remotely triggered by a helicopter landing at ridgetop. The avalanche started in a steep shallow start zone on an east aspect around the treeline, failing on a weak layer roughly 100 cm below the surface.

Snowpack Summary

Ongoing cold, clear, and dry conditions have largely preserved soft surface conditions, while variable wind-affected surfaces are present in exposed terrain at treeline and above.

Various layers buried at the end of January are now approximately 20 to 50 cm below the surface. These include sun crusts on sun-exposed slopes, surface hoar in shaded terrain at treeline and below, and weak faceted grains elsewhere.

Beneath these buried layers, the snowpack remains weak and faceted due to the prolonged dry conditions throughout January.

The mid and lower snowpack is generally well-settled and strong.

Weather Summary

Saturday Night

Cloudy with isolated flurries, trace to 5 cm snow. 10 to 20 km/h southeast ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -16 °C.

Sunday

Cloudy with scattered flurries, up to 10 cm of snow. 10 to 20 km/h southeast ridgetop wind. Treeline temperatrure -12 °C.

Monday

Cloudy with isolated flurries, 5 cm of snow. 10 to 30 km/h north ridgetop wind. Treeline temperatrure -10 °C.

Tuesday

Sun and cloud. 10 to 20 km/h northwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -12 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Back off if you encounter whumpfing, hollow sounds, or shooting cracks.
  • Be alert to conditions that change with elevation and sun exposure.
  • Carefully evaluate steep lines for wind slabs.
  • Be aware of the potential for loose avalanches in steep terrain where snow hasn't formed a slab.

Problems

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs

Weak layers, 20 to 50 cm deep, remain a concern, especially where cohesive slabs exist above, most likely found in wind-loaded terrain or sun-exposed slopes, where the solar effect has settled the upper snowpack into a cohesive slab.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 2.5

Loose Dry

An icon showing Loose Dry

In areas that accumulate over 15 cm of fresh flurries, thin slabs may begin to show reactivity. Expect to find sluffing, easily triggered and entraining new and old snow, in steep terrain.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 1.5

Valid until: Feb 16th, 2025 4:00PM

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