Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Nov 26th, 2016 3:03PM
The alpine rating is Storm Slabs and Cornices.
, the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems includeSummary
Confidence
Moderate - Due to the number of field observations
Weather Forecast
Sunday: 5-15cm of new snow / Moderate to strong southwest ridgetop winds / Freezing level at 900m. Monday and Tuesday: Mix of sun and cloud / Light and variable winds / Freezing level at about 900m
Avalanche Summary
In recent days, widespread storm slab avalanche activity was triggered naturally or with explosives. Most of the avalanches observed were in the size 2 range; however, a few size 3 and 3.5 avalanches were observed running in large, lee alpine features. With ongoing snow and wind on Saturday and Sunday afternoon, I'd be on the look-out for continued destructive storm slab activity, especially in higher elevation lee terrain.
Snowpack Summary
With ongoing stormy weather, snow depths have increased rapidly over the past week bringing treeline snow depths to 180-220 cm. Much of the snow from Wednesday and Thursday has settled and gained significant strength. That said, more recent systems have created large and reactive storm slabs which appear to be especially touchy in higher, wind-exposed terrain. Over a metre below the surface you'll find the thick mid-November crust. The reports we've received suggest a reasonable bond at this interface. Below this, the snowpack is reported to be strong and well-consolidated. A significant change from even a week ago is that we are now above threshold for avalanches below treeline (think cutblocks and open areas in the forest), so heads up as you work your way towards treeline. Nice to see mid-week posts to the Mountain Information Network... all observations are useful so please keep 'em coming!
Problems
Storm Slabs
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Cornices
Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.
Elevations: Alpine.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Nov 27th, 2016 2:00PM