Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Nov 30th, 2020 4:00PM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Wind Slabs and Persistent Slabs.

Timothy Johnson,

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A weak temperature inversion is forecasted for Tuesday so watch for solar triggered avalanches around rocky terrain. 

Summary

Weather Forecast

Parker Ridge Area

Tuesday: Sunny, alpine temperature: High 1 °C. Ridge wind northwest: 10 km/h. Freezing level: 1400 metres. Weak temperature inversion.

Wednesday: Sunny with cloudy periods. Precipitation: Nil.  Alpine temperature: Low 2 °C, High 6 °C. Light ridge wind. Freezing level: 3500 metres.

Snowpack Summary

Extreme winds have stripped the snow from windward slopes in the alpine. Soft snow can still be found in specific sheltered locations at tree line and below. Snow depth at the Bald Hills at tree line is around 80cm with the Nov 4 crust down 50cm and breaking down. The snowpack is supportive to skis. There may be a thin temperature crust below 1700m 

Avalanche Summary

Reports of isolated large avalanches failing near the ground have been reported in the region over the last 72hrs.  On Saturday explosive control at Parkers slabs resulted in two size 2.5 avalanches from the wind loaded storm snow. A few other thin slabs were noted in steep alpine terrain.

Confidence

Freezing levels are uncertain on Wednesday

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

Continuing strong SW winds in the alpine is scouring windward slopes. Be cautious of local wind influences where reverse or cross loading may have occurred.

  • Watch for Wind Slabs low on slopes, and in usually sheltered terrain, due to previous extreme winds.
  • If triggered the wind slabs may step down to deeper layers resulting in larger avalanches.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 2

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs

The Nov. 4 is down about 50cm at tree line (2000m) and breaking down. Be careful around "thin to thick" areas where deep slabs could be triggered.

  • If triggered the storm slabs may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 3

Valid until: Dec 1st, 2020 4:00PM