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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 8th, 2014–Feb 9th, 2014

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Jasper.

Enjoy the sunshine as the daytime temperatures improve.

Weather Forecast

Cold overnight temperatures will continue through the weekend with daytime highs around -15. Sunday will be clear and cold. Monday may bring light flurries with slightly warmer temperatures.

Snowpack Summary

Surface facetting continues with the cold temps. A Hard mid-pack is providing bridging strength over the weak basal facet layer at tree line and above. Below treeline where the snowpack exceeds 70cm, it has a supportive mid-pack. Reasonable ski conditions can be found in sheltered features at tree line and below.

Avalanche Summary

An avalanche patrol down Highway 93 on Friday observed several size 1.5 slab avalanches in the alpine on reverse loaded features likely from the previous three days. Similar observations were seen in the Maligne valley as well. No patrol occurred on Saturday.

Confidence

Problems

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.