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Avalanche Forecast

Apr 10th, 2019–Apr 11th, 2019
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Jasper.

Travel conditions are best in the morning. Avoid placing yourself below cornices which are weakening and present significant overhead hazard.

Weather Forecast

Diurnal temperature swing can be expected over the next 3 days. Tomorrow's winds will remain generally light with alpine highs of -3C. A mix of sun and cloud will limit the destabilizing influence of solar radiation on the snowpack. Up to 10cm of new snow is forecast for Friday.

Snowpack Summary

A supportive crust  exists to 2,100m near treeline. Higher up, at treeline and above, a winter snowpack remains on N aspects . Solar facing slopes have crusts extending higher into the alpine. At upper elevation a weak faceted layer buried down 20-50cm remains of concern. The snowpack sits on a weak base of facets and depth hoar.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanche activity has been observed although signs of cornice failures have been  reported

Confidence

Forecast snowfall amounts are uncertain

Avalanche Problems

Persistent Slabs

Evidence from recent snowpack tests and whumphing would suggest that a weak layer of facets persists down 20-50cm in some areas, and may be becoming reactive with incremental loading from recent small snowfalls.
Carefully evaluate big terrain features by digging and testing on adjacent, safe slopes.Whumpfing, shooting cracks and recent avalanches are all strong inicators of unstable snowpack.

Aspects: North, North East, East.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 1.5 - 2.5