Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Jan 24th, 2017–Jan 25th, 2017

Alpine

3: Considerable

The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable

Treeline

2: Moderate

The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate

Below Treeline

1: Low

The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Alpine

2: Moderate

The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate

Treeline

2: Moderate

The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate

Below Treeline

1: Low

The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Alpine

2: Moderate

The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate

Treeline

2: Moderate

The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate

Below Treeline

1: Low

The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Kootenay Boundary.

Wind slabs have combined with a persistent slab to form complex avalanche hazard in our region. Thin snowpack areas are especially concerning.

Confidence

Moderate -

Weather Forecast

Wednesday: Mainly cloudy with isolated flurries and a trace of new snow. Winds light from the northwest. Freezing level around 700 metres with alpine temperatures around -8Thursday: Mainly cloudy with no new snow expected. Winds light from the northwest. Freezing level 700 metres with alpine temperatures of -8.Friday: Mainly cloudy with isolated flurries and a trace of new snow. Winds light from the west. Freezing level to 700 metres with alpine temperatures around -5.

Avalanche Summary

Reports from Monday include details of two Size 2-3 avalanches releasing naturally on steep terrain over Sunday to Monday morning. Wind loading of a northwest aspect and solar input to a southerly aspect were determined to be the triggers of these separate events. Preliminary information regarding the backcountry skier fatality on Saturday is that it occurred on a S/SE facing aspect near 2050m in a cross-loaded feature. Reports from Sunday include several natural Size 1-1.5 wind slab avalanches that occurred on a northwest aspect after a bout of rapid wind loading over the morning.We also had a great MIN report of a cornice-triggered Size 2 on Friday near Cabin Peak in the Bonnington range. The initial failure was in the storm slab on a southeast aspect near 2000m but more significantly was observed stepping down to trigger a weak layer deeper in the snowpack.

Snowpack Summary

A complex and tricky snowpack exists in the Kootenay Boundary region. By Sunday morning another 3-12 cm added to the previous 35-55 cm of fresh snow from last week (which was accompanied by moderate to strong southerly winds). This resulted in touchy storm and wind slabs bonding poorly to the previous snow surface that includes facets and large surface hoar on sheltered slopes and/or a sun crust on steep sun-exposed aspects. The Jan 17th surface hoar layer continues to give easy sudden results in snowpack tests (down anywhere from 30 to 60cms depending on location). In some areas of the Rossland range, the mid-November rain crust / facet layer is now likely down 60-100 cm and has become reactive with continued loading and warming. In thin rocky areas, particularly in the Rossland range, recent reports include easy sudden collapse snowpack test results on facets down 120-150 cm near the ground.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Watch out for touchy pockets of wind slab lingering on exposed northerly features near ridge crests, and also in cross-loaded southeast gullies at treeline.

Use caution in lee areas. Recent wind loading has created wind slabs.Be cautious as you transition into wind affected terrain.If triggered the wind slabs may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South, South West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Persistent Slabs

Several different persistent weak layers are buried 60-150 cm deep and have proven reactive to human triggering. Conservative terrain use is essential in managing the problem, especially in low snow areas such as the southwest portion of the region.

Carefully evaluate terrain features by digging and testing on adjacent, safe slopes. Be aware of the potential for full depth avalanches due to deeply buried weak layers.Avoid unsupported slopes.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 2 - 3