Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Feb 22nd, 2016 8:16AM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Wind Slabs and Cornices.

Avalanche Canada bcorrigan, Avalanche Canada

Conservative terrain selection is critical for safe riding in the backcountry these days. Pay attention to rising temperatures and be wary of cornices.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate - Timing or intensity of solar radiation is uncertain

Weather Forecast

A high pressure ridge is re-establishing itself over most of BC bringing mostly sunny skies with a few cloudy periods. No precipitation is forecast for the next 4 or 5 days. Freezing levels may rise as high as 1500 metres during the day, then drop to valley bottom overnight. On Thursday the freezing level is forecast to rise to 3000 metres with clear skies.

Avalanche Summary

Natural avalanche activity appears to have slowed down west of the divide. On the eastern slopes there were reports of  3 size 1.5 - 2  natural avalanches that occurred in the past 24 hrs. on NE aspects at 1900m. Most likely as a result of the wind loading that occurred during the last precipitation and wind event.

Snowpack Summary

New snow with wind during the weekend contributed to wind slabs forming in lee terrain at treeline and in the alpine. A melt freeze crust which formed during the 2nd week of February has been reported between 40 and 70 cm., perhaps more deeply buried in the south of the region. This crust layer has also been reported with surface hoar in some places, for the most part on high and north facing terrain. Rain and warm temperatures at lower elevations created a 2 to 4cm rain crust, on south aspects below 1800 m. West of the divide, a layer of buried surface hoar might be found between 70 and 90cm below the surface. Recent reports suggest this layer has become less of a concern. As well, the stormy weather has encouraged new cornice growth. These cornices are reported to be huge and unsupported. With warm weather and sun in the afternoon, these could become a significant hazard.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs
Recent wind activity associated with the last storm cycle has redistributed the snow into wind slabs on east and north east slopes at treeline and above. These wind slabs may still be reactive to skier or sledder traffic.
Stay off recent wind loaded areas until the slope has had a chance to stabilize.>Be careful with wind loaded pockets on steep slopes below ridge crests.>Assess start zones carefully and use safe travel techniques.>

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

1 - 3

Cornices

An icon showing Cornices
Cornices continue to grow with wind transported snow.  Use great caution traveling near, or under cornices.
Cornices become weak with daytime heating. >Give cornices a wide berth when travelling on or below ridges.>Extra caution needed around cornices with current conditions.>

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

2 - 4

Valid until: Feb 23rd, 2016 2:00PM