Avalanche Forecast
Regions: South Rockies.
Confidence
Moderate - Timing or intensity of solar radiation is uncertain
Weather Forecast
Overnight: Moderate southwest winds with a chance of flurries and freezing down to 1400 metres. Monday: Overcast with moderate westerly winds and 2-3 cm of new snow. Freezing levels rising up to 2300 metres. Tuesday: Mix of sun and cloud with moderate southwest winds and daytime freezing up to 2200 metres. Wednesday: Mostly sunny with moderate westerly winds and daytime freezing up to 2400 metres.
Avalanche Summary
Recent reports indicate several natural storm slab and cornice triggered avalanches to size 2 on all aspects tree line and above. Exposure to large overhanging cornices remains a significant concern.
Snowpack Summary
Moist new snow falling last week above tree line has been redistributed by south and southeast winds. Cornices remain large and continue to become more overhanging. The middle of the snowpack is generally well settled and continues to transition into a spring melt/freeze regime. Expect the entire thickness of the snowpack to be moist or wet at lower elevations. At upper elevations, the bottom third of the snowpack is composed of weak facets, however there still is uncertainty to this layer's reactivity. That being said, a heavy load like a cornice fall or rapid warming of the snowpack could potentially trigger this layer.
Avalanche Problems
Cornices
Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.
Elevations: Alpine.
Likelihood: Possible
Expected Size: 2 - 3
Loose Wet
Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood: Possible - Likely
Expected Size: 1 - 2