Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Feb 3rd, 2024 4:00PM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is low, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Wind Slabs.

Avalanche Canada ahanna, Avalanche Canada

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Wind slabs likely remain triggerable in the alpine.

Summary

Confidence

High

Avalanche Summary

A very large natural avalanche cycle, size 2.5-3.5 was observed over the week, with the most recent occurrence near Ningunsaw on Friday. A combination of wind slabs and persistent slabs failing on buried weak layers, most were triggered in alpine start zones, entrained wet snow and ran far, many to valley bottom.

By Friday, most avalanche activity was trending smaller; size 1 rider-triggered wind slabs on north to east aspects in the alpine.

Snowpack Summary

A moist upper snowpack up to 1800 m is refreezing into a crust. In the alpine, overlying dry wind slabs may slow the refreeze.

Various layers formed in January are now buried 50-100 cm deep. Up to 1600 m this presents as a thick crust, and at higher elevations, facets, sometimes in combination with surface hoar. Large avalanches ran on these layers during the height of the recent warm, wet storm. It is expected that they will strengthen as temperatures drop.

Below treeline, the previously rain-soaked snowpack is starting to refreeze from the top down. It diminishes rapidly to dirt below 500 m.

Weather Summary

Saturday night

Mostly cloudy with a trace of snow. West ridgetop wind 40 km/h. Treeline temperature around -12°C.

Sunday

A mix of sun and cloud. West ridgetop wind tapering to <20 km/h and switching east. Treeline temperature around -9 °C.

Monday

Sunny. East ridgetop wind 20-30 km/h. Treeline temperature around -10 °C.

Tuesday

Sunny. Northeast ridgetop wind <20 km/h. Treeline temperature around -11 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Be careful with wind slabs, especially in steep, unsupported and/or convex terrain features.
  • Use extra caution around cornices: they are large, fragile, and can trigger slabs on slopes below.
  • When a thick, melt-freeze surface crust is present, avalanche activity is unlikely.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

Wind slabs may be triggerable at upper elevations where wind has transported dry snow into leeward terrain features. Wind-transported snow has also enlarged cornices recently.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, North West.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood

Possible - Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2

Valid until: Feb 4th, 2024 4:00PM

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