Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Jan 16th, 2025 4:00PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is considerable, and the below treeline rating is moderate. Known problems include Persistent Slabs and Storm Slabs.

Avalanche Canada Avalanche Canada, Avalanche Canada

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Deep instabilities are present and have produced large avalanches over the past few days.

Natural avalanches may taper but human triggering is likely.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

On Wednesday a widespread natural avalanche cycle continued. Large to very large avalanches were seen up to size 3.

Snowpack Summary

Storm snow totals over the past few days range from 40 to 80 cm. Strong to extreme west through southwest wind has created widespread wind effect, with deeper deposits of snow on leeward slopes. Forecast-changing winds may start to load southerly aspects on Friday.

Down 70 to 120 cm a layer of surface hoar, facets, or a thin crust exists.

A persistent weak layer of surface hoar and facets overlying a crust is buried 120 to 150 cm deep. This layer remains reactive, producing large and dangerous avalanches.

Weather Summary

Thursday Night

Cloudy with few flurries. 20 to 40 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -5 °C. Freezing level 700 m.

Friday

Mostly sunny. 10 to 20 km/h northwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -10 °C.

Saturday

A mix of sun and cloud, possible flurries up to 5 cm. 10 to 25 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -8 °C.

Sunday

A mix of sun and cloud. 10 to 20 km/h north ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -8 °C. Freezing level valley bottom.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Storm slabs in motion may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.
  • Fresh snow rests on a problematic persistent slab, don't let good riding lure you into complacency.
  • Avoid freshly wind-loaded terrain features.
  • Keep in mind that human triggering may persist as natural avalanches taper off.

Problems

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs

The persistent slab avalanche problem has resulted in large to very large avalanches (up to 3). Natural avalanche activity will start to taper but human triggered avalanches remain likely.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Possible - Likely

Expected Size

2 - 3.5

Storm Slabs

An icon showing Storm Slabs

Watch for newly formed and reactive storm slabs within the new snow. Potential remains for slabs to step down to deeper persistent weak layers.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2

Valid until: Jan 17th, 2025 4:00PM

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