Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Dec 23rd, 2012 10:02AM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is moderate. Known problems include Storm Slabs.

Avalanche Canada swerner, Avalanche Canada

Summary

Confidence

Fair - Intensity of incoming weather is uncertain

Weather Forecast

The unsettled weather pattern that has dominated the region is changing. The low off the Pacific Coast will start to diminish while being replaced by a weak split flow bringing dryer conditions. Another low will reach the South Coast on Tuesday bringing cloudy skies and generally light precipitation to the interior Regions.Monday: Snow amounts 5-10 cm. Ridgetop winds light from the SE, and alpine temperatures near -8. Freezing levels near 800 m. Christmas Day: No precipitation expected and scattered cloud cover. Ridgetop winds light from the South. Alpine temperatures near -6, and freezing levels 800 m. Wednesday: Light snow amounts. Ridgetop winds light from the SW with alpine temperatures near -10. Freezing levels at valley bottom.

Avalanche Summary

No new natural avalanche activity has been reported. Skier controlled loose dry avalanches up to size 1.0 were easily initiated within the new storm snow.

Snowpack Summary

Around 110 cm new snow has fallen in the last week. Consistent, moderate SW winds have been redistributing the new snow onto lee slopes and behind terrain features. In areas of wind effect, expect the storm slab to be stiffer, easy to trigger and more reactive. In most places the slab is still relatively unconsolidated and soft and it is not propagating far. The recent storm snow seems to be settling with moderate to hard resistant shears in the top meter of the snowpack. In some areas of the region people are still seeing and testing buried surface hoar down around 130 cm. Test results are in the hard to very hard range with sudden results. Deeper in the snowpack sits a well settled mid-pack.  that has not been showing shears in snow profile tests.

Problems

Storm Slabs

An icon showing Storm Slabs
Storm slabs may be touchy at all elevations, especially in areas that have been exposed to the wind. The recent low density snow may also be transported by moderate southwest winds building wind slabs on North through East aspects.
Watch for whumpfing, hollow sounds, shooting cracks or recent avalanches.>Be cautious as you transition into wind affected terrain.>The new snow may require several days to settle and stabilize.>

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

1 - 5

Valid until: Dec 24th, 2012 2:00PM