Summary
Confidence
Fair - Timing or intensity of solar radiation is uncertain on Wednesday
Weather Forecast
Wednesday: A mix of sun and cloud / Light southwest winds / Freezing level at 2100mThursday: Moderate snowfall/rain developing late in the day / Moderate southwest winds / Freezing level at 2400mFriday: Moderate to locally heavy snowfall/rain / light to moderate southwest winds / Freezing level at 1700m
Avalanche Summary
Glide cracks are opening up and releasing. On Sunday a size 3.5 glide crack released on a West aspect at 2300 m and ran to valley bottom. Loose wet avalanches up to size 1.5 continue to be widespread.
Snowpack Summary
Large cornices loom over many slopes. The upper 10 cm of surface snow has become moist up to 2300 m, and melt-freeze conditions exist. Surface facetting and surface hoar (up to 12 mm) are prevalent on steep northerly aspects at upper elevations.The surface snow overlies an old crust (down 50-60 cm) which exists up to ridge top. The bonds with the crust have gained strength in most places, and some test results are showing resistant planar fracture characteristics. Having said that, the overlying slab could become reactive with daytime warming.
Problems
Loose Wet
Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Cornices
Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.
Elevations: Alpine.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Apr 3rd, 2013 2:00PM