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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Jan 19th, 2012–Jan 20th, 2012
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
The next storm is coming and may deliver 10-15cm late Friday and Saturday, along with strong west winds. The avalanche hazard will spike, and the snowpack will need some time to readjust to the added load and warm temp's.

Weather Forecast

Snowpack Summary

Avalanche Summary

Confidence

Forecast snowfall amounts are uncertain on Saturday

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Thin windslabs exist at treeline and in the alpine. These are faceting out with the cold temperatures, but may be triggered by riders in the next few days. An avalanche on this layer may be enough to step down to the basal facets.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Deep Persistent Slabs

Cold temperatures are facetting a well settled midpack which overrides a weaker facetted base. This weak base is found most places except the west side of the divide. Many thin spots exist in the alpine and treeline due to previous strong winds.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 2 - 3

Wind Slabs

Climbers should avoid Cascade Falls and Rogan's Gully this weekend. There is a large amount of snow above these routes and with the coming storm and warm temp's, natural avalanches will threaten routes with large bowls above.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 2 - 3