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Avalanche Forecast

Mar 27th, 2018–Mar 28th, 2018
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: South Rockies.

Watch for any prolonged sunshine to destabilize wind slabs and create loose wet avalanche conditions on sun-exposed slopes.

Confidence

Moderate -

Weather Forecast

Wednesday: A mix of sun and cloud. Moderate northwest winds. Freezing level to 1500 metres with alpine high temperatures around -6.Thursday: A mix of sun and cloud. Light west winds. Freezing level to 1600 metres with alpine high temperatures around -5.Friday: Mainly cloudy with scattered flurries and a trace to 5 cm of new snow, continuing overnight. Moderate to strong southwest winds. Freezing level to 1400 metres with alpine high temperatures around -5.

Avalanche Summary

Reports from Saturday in the Castle area showed a couple of storm slabs that released to size 1.5 and 2. The smaller avalanche occurred naturally while the size 2 was explosives-triggered.

Snowpack Summary

Up to 35 cm of new snow fell over the region on the weekend. This new snow was initially redistributed by strong easterly winds before winds switched to the southwest. As a result, a mix of old and new wind slabs can now be found on a variety of aspects and at lower elevations as well.Below the wind effect, this recent snow has buried and old snow surface that consists of crusts up to 2100 metres and dry snow or surface hoar on north aspects above 2100 m. Below this layer the mid-pack is is well consolidated. Deeper in the snowpack (50-80 cm down) the surface hoar buried in mid-February is now considered dormant. At the bottom of the snowpack you'll find a combination of crusts and facets that is reportedly widespread.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Strong southwest winds have redistributed storm snow into wind slabs on a wide range of aspects and elevations. Newer slabs may become touchy if they see prolonged solar exposure on Wednesday.
Avoid large slopes with thin-to-thick snow coverage and convex features.Use caution around wind-loaded areas in the alpine and at tree line.Keep your guard up at lower elevations. Wind slab formation has been extensive.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Loose Wet

The chance for loose wet avalanches will increase with the duration of sunshine on steep, sunny slopes. Loose wet activity may occur naturally or with a human trigger.
Minimize exposure to steep, sun exposed slopes when the solar radiation is strong.Be cautious of sluffing in steep terrain, particularly where the debris flows into terrain traps.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2