Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Mar 9th, 2021 4:00PM
The alpine rating is Wind Slabs and Persistent Slabs.
, the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems includeLingering wind slabs may remain reactive on steep, convex slopes below alpine ridgetops. A persistent slab problem may still be possible to trigger in isolated areas in the northwest of the region and warrants continued consideration.
Summary
Confidence
High - Confidence is due to a stable weather pattern with little change expected.
Weather Forecast
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TUESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy with flurries; 2-5 cm. / Light, west ridgetop wind / alpine low temperature -13 / Freezing level valley bottom.
WEDNESDAY: Cloudy with isolated flurries; 0-3 cm. / Light, northwest ridgetop wind / alpine high temperature -8 / Freezing level valley bottom.
THURSDAY: Sunny / Moderate, northwest ridgetop wind / alpine high temperature -5 / Freezing level 1200 m.
FRIDAY: Mix of sun and cloud / Strong, southwest ridgetop wind / alpine high temperature -1 / Freezing level 1600 m.
Avalanche Summary
No avalanches were reported in this region on Monday.
A widespread avalanche cycle occurred in this region at the end of last week (around March 4-5) in response to intense wind loading and rapid warming.
Snowpack Summary
Crusty snow surfaces exist up to around 1600 m and even higher on slopes that have been exposed to direct sunshine. Cornices are present along ridgelines.
In the last week of February and the first week of March, a number of large avalanches were reported on persistent weak layers in the Cariboos. The layers of primary concern are a 50-100 cm deep layer of facets that was buried in mid-February, a 50-150 cm deep layer of surface hoar from early February that was most prevalent at treeline (and existed as a facet/crust combination on steep south-facing terrain), and finally another persistent weak layer from late January that is now roughly 100-150 cm deep. Evidence suggests these weak layers have become hard to trigger, particularly in areas to the south and east, but it's too early to write these layers off completely.
Terrain and Travel
- Wind slabs may be poorly bonded to the underlying crust.
- Small avalanches can have serious consequences in extreme terrain. Carefully evaluate your line for wind slab hazard before you commit to it.
- Avoid steep, rocky, and wind effected areas where triggering slabs is more likely.
- Caution around slopes that are exposed to cornices overhead.
Problems
Wind Slabs
You may find pockets of wind slab behind exposed ridgelines in the alpine. Cornices may be present as well.
Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, West, North West.
Elevations: Alpine.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Persistent Slabs
There are several persistent weak layers 50-150 cm. below the surface that have produced large natural and human triggered avalanches in the last week of February and first week of March. It may be too soon to write these layers off, as they could still be reactive to human triggers in isolated areas, especially on south-facing slopes when the sun is out.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Mar 10th, 2021 4:00PM